Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party has fallen to 19 seats, its lowest projected tally since May 2025, according to an opinion poll published on Friday, about six weeks before the October 27 general election.
The Maariv newspaper, which published the survey, described the result as a “historic collapse” for Netanyahu’s party.
The poll was conducted by Lazar Research in cooperation with the Panel4All research platform.
The survey, conducted on September 9 and 10, invited 4,329 people to take part, received responses from 601 participants, and had a margin of error of four percentage points.
According to the results, Likud would win 19 seats if elections were held now, down from 21 in a poll conducted on Monday and its weakest showing since May 29 2025.
By contrast, former army chief Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party remained the largest party in the poll with 25 seats, unchanged from Monday’s survey.
The results came three days after Israeli parties submitted their candidate lists for the Knesset election.
Parties in the current governing coalition would secure 50 seats, while opposition parties would win 58. Arab parties would receive the remaining 12 seats.
A minimum of 61 seats is required to form a government in the 120-member Knesset.
