Argentina's Milei predicts two-year timeline to revamp country's economy

During his campaign, Javier Milei pledged to abandon the ailing peso in favour of the US dollar and eliminate the central bank, accusing it of exacerbating inflation by printing money to fund government overspending.

"The empirical evidence for the Argentine case says that if you cut monetary emission today, it takes between 18 and 24 months to destroy (inflation)," Javier Milei said. / Photo: AP Archive
AP Archive

"The empirical evidence for the Argentine case says that if you cut monetary emission today, it takes between 18 and 24 months to destroy (inflation)," Javier Milei said. / Photo: AP Archive

President-elect Javier Milei said that it could take between 18 and 24 months to bring Argentina's rampant inflation under control, as he outlined his plans to reform the economy.

The 53-year-old outsider, who has drawn comparisons with former United States president Donald Trump and Brazil's Jair Bolsonaro for his abrasive style and controversial remarks, vowed on Monday to "very quickly put public accounts in order."

Milei won a resounding victory in Sunday's presidential election, trouncing Economy Minister Sergio Massa by 12 points with a pledge to halt decades of unbridled state spending and "end the decline of Argentina."

In a series of morning radio interviews to lay out his vision, he said he had a "clear plan" to tackle annual inflation that has hit 140 percent and a poverty rate of 40 percent.

During the campaign, Milei vowed to ditch the ailing peso for the US dollar and get rid of the central bank, which he accuses of fueling inflation by printing money to finance government overspending.

"The empirical evidence for the Argentine case says that if you cut monetary emission today, it takes between 18 and 24 months to destroy (inflation)," he said.

Since he has been elected, Milei has toned down his controversial rhetoric and has focused on his plans to reform the state.

Milei said "everything that can be in the hands of the private sector is going to be in the hands of the private sector," including the state oil company YPF and state media.

He said he would push for the elimination of strict currency exchange controls — with analysts saying the official rate of the peso to the dollar is an expensive fiction.

However, Milei said he would first seek to resolve the debt issued by the central bank.

"If the problem of the central bank is not resolved, the shadow of hyperinflation will follow us at all times," he warned.

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President-elect Milei vows to 'end decades of Argentina's decline'

Argentines can choose currency

Asked about his dollarisation platform, Milei said the priority was "to close the central bank, then the currency will be the one that Argentines freely choose."

Milei will take office on December 10, inheriting a country whose coffers are in the red, with $44 billion in debt with the International Monetary Fund looming over his incoming government.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva congratulated Milei and said she looked forward to working with him "to develop and implement a strong plan to safeguard macroeconomic stability and strengthen inclusive growth for all Argentinians."

Monday is a public holiday, meaning the impact of Milei's win on the volatile peso has been delayed.

Argentina has in recent years strictly controlled the exchange rate of the peso and access to dollars, leading to a thriving black market for greenbacks.

This so-called "blue dollar" exchange is almost three times the value of the official rate, and analysts warn the peso is ripe for a sharp devaluation.

Asked whether he would scrap restrictions on the purchase of foreign currency that have been in place since 2019, Milei said: "it is not an option to maintain the trap that hinders the economy."

Reactions poured in for the new leader of Latin America's third-largest economy, including congratulations from Brazil and China — which he had previously vowed to cut ties with, saying "we don't make deals with communists."

Following Milei's victory, Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva wished "good luck and success" to the new Argentine government.

But embattled Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro blasted the president-elect, claiming Milei's win is a victory for the "neo-Nazi extreme right" and plays into the hands of "US imperialism."

"We respect the decision of the Argentine people," said Maduro, whose 2018 re-election was not recognized by several countries including the United States, "and we simply call for reflection on the emergence of the far-right which seeks to impose a return to the colonization of Latin America."

China said Monday it would continue working with Argentina, congratulating the president-elect on his victory.

"China has always attached great importance to the development of China-Argentina relations from a strategic and long-term perspective," foreign ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning said at a regular briefing.

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