Venezuela votes in tense presidential election

Venezuelans will vote between continuity in President Nicolas Maduro or change in rival Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia amid high tensions.

Concerns were stoked when Caracas blocked several international observers at the last minute, including four ex-presidents who had their plane held up in Panama Friday.

Maduro is seeking a third six-year term at the helm of the once wealthy petro-state that saw GDP drop 80 percent in a decade, pushing more than seven million of its 30 million citizens to emigrate.

Maduro lags far behind challenger Gonzalez Urrutia in voter intention, according to independent polls. But relying on its own figures, the regime is said to be certain of victory.

Polls suggest Sunday's vote poses the biggest threat yet to 25 years of "Chavismo," the populist movement founded by Maduro's predecessor and mentor, Hugo Chavez.

Days before the vote, Maduro said the outcome would decide whether Venezuela enters a period of "peace or war."

"If they do not want Venezuela to become a bloodbath, a fratricidal civil war produced by the fascists, let us guarantee the greatest success, the greatest electoral victory of our people," he said at a rally.

The comments drew condemnation from leaders including Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who said: "Maduro has to learn: if you win, you stay. If you lose, you go."

Analysts said the president is unlikely to concede defeat, especially in the absence of immunity guarantees, with his government under investigation for human rights abuses by the International Criminal Court.

'World is watching'

Gonzalez Urrutia, a 74-year-old former diplomat, is running in the place of wildly popular opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, barred from the race by institutions.

Roberta Metsola, president of the European Parliament, spoke to Machado on Saturday, writing on X afterwards: "We are on the side of democracy. The world is watching these elections."

US National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said on Thursday that Washington hoped for "peaceful elections" and stressed that "any political repression and violence is unacceptable."

Washington is keen, as is Caracas, for an easing of punitive measures against Venezuela's critical but severely weakened oil sector at a time of great pressure on crude prices with Russia-Ukraine conflict raging in eastern Europe and Israel's war on Gaza in the Middle East.

Venezuela has also been a major source of migration pressure on the southern US border, a situation experts say will only worsen in the event of a post-election political crisis.

The United States has insisted that the lifting of sanctions depends on a fair vote.

'Best chance'

The government in Caracas accuses the opposition of conspiring against Maduro, whose 2018 reelection was rejected as illegitimate by most Western and Latin American countries.

Years of tough sanctions failed to dislodge the president.

Maduro has repeatedly vowed that he won't cede power now even as Venezuelans clamour for change.

Most live on just a few dollars a month, with the health care and education systems in disrepair and biting shortages of electricity and fuel.

The government blames sanctions, but observers point the finger at corruption and mismanagement.

Some 21 million Venezuelans are registered to vote at 30,000 polling stations for 12 hours from 6:00 am (1000 GMT).

The government has deployed tens of thousands of security forces and enforced ramped-up border control and a prohibition on public gatherings and protests.